Archive

Archive for March, 2008

Social Networking vs. Robotics

March 20th, 2008

Hopefully you have had the opportunity to see the video floating around the Internet about BigDog.  The robot prototype that Boston Dynamics has put together which is absolutely amazing.   (Follow this link to see a few that have wound up on YouTube).

Boston Dynamics is the same company that built the AIBO series robot dogs distributed by SONY a few years ago (always wanted one of those).  A few of the articles that I read about the prototype was that it was built from a grant from DARPA (the same organization that gave us TCP/IP and eventually the Internet - thanks).

My question is this:

With the ever increasing concerns about the economy, are we better off investing $50 million dollars in Slide so they can build applications for the Facebook (and other) social networking site or, can we continue to revolutionize the robotics industry and build some robots that actually do something.

BigDog is amazing and while I am sure that it did not take the full $10 million DARPA gave Boston Dynamics to build it, I am sure that there is no plant waiting to mass produce them.  And I am sure that even if they do, there may not be a market outside of the government which can sustain the costs of one of these machines - but - we will never get to the Matrix if we don’t start soon.

(um…yeah… a bit overboard - but - still).

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Why Facebook has a $1billion dollar valuation

March 12th, 2008

I know it is scary to think about this but I believe that the potential for an application like Facebook is larger than advertising.  Think of it this way:

1.) 34+ million users (in best Dr. Evil impression) - yeah the statistics will tell you that the site growth is capping off and that only a percentage of those users actually log in - but they still “touch” a ton of people.

2.) Communication is changing on the web (talked about this before).  Thing about it is, no one really knows where it is all going.  Clearly E-Mail is not going to be the main channel for all communications 10 years from now.

3.) People are getting tired of all the applications out there - there has to be a shakedown.  Companies that are in endless beta will eventually give up.  Since all they want is Facebook fame not truly affecting the flow of information.

4.) Facebook has something that no one else has - the API.  Call it silly - call it dumb - say it will never support business to business - but don’t deny the fact that there is something tangible here.  Slide - the company behind a few of the most popular Facebook applications (which coincidently did not exist before Facebook) just secured 50 million dollars in funding (yes - in my best Dr. Evil impression).  Even with a horrible burn rate of 5 million dollars a year, you are still looking at 10 years of comfortable opportunity.

5.) The web is changing and so is communication.  Teens and college age users are done with E-mail.  They use IM, Twitter, SMS etc… to keep up with everyone and they are huge on ‘networking’.  Go find a teenager that doesn’t have 100+ contacts in their list.  In the past those types of contact lists were reserved for Stock Brokers and Insurance Salesman.  There is a real network growing here and kids are learning how to connect quicker then ever.

So where does that leave us:

Doing nearly everything on Facebook.  Think of this as your “portal” to the rest of the world and anyone that you give two hoots about.  I am not a kool-aid drinker here but there are some astounding opportunities for this site which not a lot of people are aware of.

Take some common tasks:

- Buying music - with iLike I can not only keep tabs on all my favorite artists, with my network of people I can see what else is out there.  If trust you to be in my network, I probably trust you to recommend some music.  With everything from concert updates to record releases (and links to shopping) you can do it all - without having to leave Facebook.

- Renting movies - my Blockbuster online account is now integrated with Facebook.  I can actually add movies to my queue from Facebook without ever leaving the site.  On top of that, I get recommendations from my friends…

Ok, let’s stop there!

Take Blockbuster for example.  Let’s look at what they have done.  Instead of building their own social networking architecture (Friends, Comments, Ratings, Recommendations etc…) they just tie into Facebooks framework.  Cut development time in half.  Cut maintenance time in half, and to top it all off, they don’t have to go and find a marketing channel.  When I logged into Blockbuster they popped up a window “Hey, do you have an account with Facebook - we integrate …”.  On top of that - they can send broad messages to Facebook informing people that the service is there.  Why would Blockbuster want to compete??  Search for Netflix - they have done the same thing.  Why not?

I could go on with all of the general actions you take on a daily basis which require recommendation - buying a car, getting a loan, renting a house etc… Why not connect with other people.  Thinking about moving, look in your friends networks, anyone live in an area that you are interested in - connect with them.  Find out what the housing market is like, the places to look and the places to stay away from.  Six degrees of separation times 10 (or like 100).

Want proof: “Facebook Taps Blood Donor

That same story has certainly come out of Forums and other web based communication channels but that was in the past.  This is the now.  You might be asking me to tip my cup back down and stop or I will get a head rush.  You may be right.  But I don’t think you can deny the potential.

Is it really that bad that you would log into Facebook every day - at least once?  I haven’t even mentioned things like dating, sharing photos, having fun…

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Deep Thoughts: By Jack Handy

March 11th, 2008

Caution: This post is _not_ about the SNL character “Jack Handy” played by the late (great) Phil Hartman - although his sketches were great and he deserves a mention now and then …. I will leave it at that.

No, this is about a phenomonon which I have yet to capture in words.  It is all that is good about the Internet and the World Wide Web.

Scenario:

You are chatting with a friend and they say something (anything) which conjures up an image (in my case it was the image of “Geri the Cleaner” from Toy Story 2 - where he had those little glasses on with the lights and the “flip” magnifying glasses - he used them to clean Woody) yet the individual on the other end of the conversation has no idea what you are talking about - not because you are a lunatic but because they weren’t there or they didn’t see that movie.

So, here in lies the great thought I had today - 10 years ago - how would I ever get them to “visualize” that thought? Short answer - I wouldn’t.  I could tell them to go watch the movie, I could send them a copy of the video etc… No matter how I did it though it would take forever.  More than likely, the context of the thought would have been lost and the effort I put into helping them “visualize” would be useless.

Answer: World Wide Web

For starters I did not know the guys name so I Googled (yes that is noun) “toy mender Toy Story 2″ - of course that returned “Are you sure you didn’t mean ‘toy bender Toy Story 2′”.  So after a few more tries and ultimately a trip to IMDB - I found out the characters name was “Geri the Cleaner“.  Low and behold - I was also greeted with a wonderful picture of the fine old man with his glasses (the ones with the lights).

In about 2 minutes - I was able to completely represent my thought and with visual support.  Not possible 10 years ago (well maybe it was possible 9 years ago - the movie debuted in 1999).

Sometimes it is important to sit back and reflect on the hard work we first generation “Interneteers” have accomplished.  Just like the railroad workers in the 1800 - we are laying the foundation for the communication architecture of the future.

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